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Data from 22,000+ Horoscopes Shows True Nature of Astrology PDF Print E-mail
Swift
Written by Bart Farkas   
Monday, 24 January 2011 17:52
There have been a lot of studies on the subject of horoscopes, astrology, and astrological predictions in general and as Wikipedia so succinctly tells us: “Studies have repeatedly failed to demonstrate statistically significant relationships between astrological predictions and operationally defined outcomes.” In short, when put to the scientific test horoscopes succeed as much as chance alone in predicting whatever parameter they are purported to predict.
horoscoped

A chart showing the most common words used

in horoscopes on Yahoo.com's horoscope web pages.

Of course, believers in Astrology usually repeat the same old tired explanations for the inability of science to confirm astrological predictions. These include a lack of scientific equipment or theory capable of measuring or understanding the mystery of astrology, and of course simple lack of belief. As former JREF President and Bad Astronomer Phil Plait has pointed out many a time and in great detail: “Astrology is wrong.” Seriously, if you want to know why Astrology and Horoscopes can’t possibly make any sense, read Phil’s take on it here at his Bad Astronomy website (www.badastronomy.com).

 

The reason I bring this up is that a fine chap named David McCandless recently analyzed 22,168 horoscopes from the Yahoo.com astrology website in an effort to see if there was any correlation between the sorts of words that most commonly appear in horoscopes. After filtering out words like ‘the’, ‘and’ and the like, McCandless discovered that no matter what sign a person may be, and no matter what type of horoscope a person may be reading, the words that appear are pretty much identical with over a 90% match between signs.

They even isolated the most common words and wrote a generic meta-prediction that applies to all of the star signs for every day of the year. Here is what they came up with:

 

“Whatever the situation or secret moment, enjoy everything a lot. Feel able to absolutely care. Expect nothing else. Keep making love. Family and friends matter. The world is life, fun and energy. Maybe hard. Or easy. Taking exactly enough is best. Help and talk to others. Change your mind and a better mood comes along…”

 

Wow, reading that has just changed my life; specifically in that the 30 seconds I spent reading it is time that I can never get back.  We need to take our hats off to folks like David who go to the trouble of exposing Astrology for what it really is, and the resulting graphic that his team came up with to show the most common words is actually sort of pleasing to the eyes. Read more about the report here or visit http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/.

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A readable diagram?
written by AlmightyBob, January 24, 2011
Could you guys post (or link to) a version of this chart that isn't unreadably small?
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Here you go
written by thebrokencarnage, January 24, 2011
Here's links to the information is beautiful explanation page and the larger version of the chart:
http://www.informationisbeauti...roscoped/
http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/horoscoped/
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...
written by Monkey Man, January 24, 2011
@AlimightyBOB http://www.informationisbeauti...oroscoped/

Mike Adams, the uberquack of naturalnews.com (he actually believes that the Tuscon shooter was a mind-controlled Manchurian Candidate by the dark forces or whatever), which would be hilarious except for the fact that millions of decent people read his stuff) posted a story entitled "Principle of astrology proven to be scientific" http://www.naturalnews.com/030...basis.html

The study he's referring to apparently shows "mice born in the winter showed a "consistent slowing" of their daytime activity. They were also more susceptible to symptoms that we might call "Seasonal Affective Disorder."

So somehow this proves that the star positions has something to do with it. I know, the guy is beyond scary.

Anyway, I think it's worth noting that you would expect certain patterns to emerge in the human race due to other cycles that take place. But they take it waaayyyy to far. The study has absolutely nothing to do with astrology.

I think that studying cycles or patterns in humanity is worthwhile if we can pinpoint most of the causation. That would be science.
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Trying again...
written by thebrokencarnage, January 24, 2011
Sorry for the fail on the previous post. Here's a second (hopefully successful) attempt:
http://www.informationisbeauti...oroscoped/
http://www.informationisbeauti...oroscoped/
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...
written by Otara, January 24, 2011
My funniest astrology experience was when someone said they could tell my star sign. After 4 incorrect guesses, they gave up and I told them it - whereupon they nodded sagely and said 'ah yes, fire sign'.

Now this article shows they were right, every time.
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...
written by lytrigian, January 24, 2011
Unfortunately, I think Phil Plait's critique runs off the rails right from the start when he says:
...they all operate under a very broad working assumption: there is some sort of force from the heavens that influences us here on Earth. There are lots of different attributions for this force (some say gravity, some say electromagnetism, some say a force that cannot be measured), but it all boils down to the planets and stars having an effect on people./quote]
This might be true for some schools of astrology, but certainly not all, and perhaps not even most. Very often, no causal relationship from the stars to human affairs is posited at all, any more than we would say that a clock causes the passage of time. Whether this is historically true I can't say (hence expressions like a person's fate being "governed" by one planet or another) but it does seem to be true now.

This is not to say that astrology is NOT wrong. Of course it's wrong. But I think he took aim at a suboptimal target there.
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written by lytrigian, January 24, 2011
Ugh -- sorry, I failed on my tag closure there..
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Good luck trying to move the believers with this sort of evidence
written by Kritikos, January 24, 2011
A couple of weeks ago, I posted a comment on an Internet message board in which Park Kunkle's proposed "correction" to the zodiac calendar was being discussed. I said that proposing a correction to the astrological calculus in light of the facts of astronomy is like proposing a correction to the practice of divination by chicken bones in light of some facts about the anatomy of chickens--the point being that neither practice is answerable to reality. I got a reply saying that I was misled by "mainstream 'sun sign' astrology you see in newspaper horoscopes and the mainstream media," which, this person implied, was not real or true astrology. Such a person would simply brush aside the results of McCandless's researches as having no bearing on "real" astrology.

By the way, I believe that this is an instance not of the fallacy of no true Scotsman but rather of the fallacy of special pleading. It would be "no true Scotsman" to reason from the fact that some astrological forecasts are found to be vacuous to the conclusion that those forecasts are not real astrology. But that is not what I think this person was doing. He has an antecedent idea of which astrological practices are the real ones (or the serious ones or the credible ones or whatever--he didn't use a specific adjective to set them apart) and which ones are not, and he is dismissing critical arguments concerning astrology in general because they don't take account of the specific kind of astrology that he favors, whatever it may be.
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A website for the most comprehensive scientific treatment of astrology
written by garyg, January 25, 2011
http://www.astrology-and-science.com/hpage.htm
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The correct response
written by EarlyOut, January 25, 2011
When asked what your sign is, just reply, "Feces." That usually stops them in their tracks. smilies/wink.gif
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...
written by JeffWagg, January 25, 2011
That's very fun. I'd like to see a similar chart for psychic readings.
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The other 10%
written by William, January 25, 2011
Not that I claim this, but the astrologers can quickly point out that it's the other 10% that makes each sign unique.

If Kunkle's changes are accepted, it puts their whole premise into disarray.
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written by Willy K, January 25, 2011
@ Kritikos

Interesting answer.

I've been trying to figure out which logical fallacy is applicable when people give me the "Then how do you explain XYZ?" When I assert that there are no supernatural beings doing miracles for the faithful.

Would you know which fallacy they're using?

Thanks, Willy

PS. Just took a quick look at your blog. IMHO Rep. John Shimkus is just plain bat-sheet crazy. smilies/cry.gif
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To Willy K.
written by Kritikos, January 25, 2011
What kind of thing is supposed to go in place of "XYZ"? Can you give an example?
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The best response is...
written by garyg, January 25, 2011
>The correct response
written by EarlyOut, January 25, 2011
When asked what your sign is, just reply, "Feces." That usually stops them in their tracks.

No, I have to disagree. The best response was made by a colleague decades ago (at my expense):

When a woman in the office asked me what my sign was, before I could answer he said, "He's off the chart!"
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@Willy K
written by lytrigian, January 25, 2011
It can be one of several depending on the situation.

It might be a case of a false dilemma, when an unstated premise is, "Either theory A can explain XYZ, or God did it." Absent any positive evidence that God in fact did it, it may instead be true that theory B (perhaps as yet unproposed) is a better explanation.

Or it might be "post hoc, ergo propter hoc". "I prayed for XYZ to happen, and it did! How do you explain *that*?" An action is presumed to be the cause of an effect even though there is no direct evidence that the two are connected. There is connected psychological phenomenon here called confirmation bias, where people tend to better remember all the times a presumed cause appears to work than all the (usually much more numerous) times when it didn't. This has the effect of grossly exaggerating the presumed cause's apparent effect.

People also tend to apply special pleading here, where an event is made to fit a previous prayer even though an outside observer might say that what was asked for was not what was received. This results in many false positives. Here's a real-world example: I know a couple who are infertile. At one point the mother (who I think is the one with the physical problem) made a vow to the Virgin Mary before a famous icon in her ancestral village in Greece, asking that she be granted children, and if they ever arrived she would dedicate them before that icon. (A purely ritual act which made no practical difference in the kids' lives other than taking a trip to Greece.) Well, the couple ended up adopting two children, and they had to spend the wife's inheritance to do it. She treated this as if it were the fulfillment of her prayer, even though it was plainly not what she had in mind to start with and required a considerable effort and expenditure on their part. So there she was in Greece, on her knees with her kids in her arms, thanking the Virgin for something she and her husband had done all on their own in a not-at-all-miraculous way. (Unless successfully navigating the bureaucracy of overseas adoption is a miracle. And it may well be. smilies/wink.gif )
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written by Willy K, January 26, 2011
@ Kritikos

Sorry for being a little vague. XYZ could be almost any anecdotal event that has no obvious cause. The credulous will usually state that their favorite god or supernatural process is responsible for the outcome. If someone like me asks for evidence that the supernatural being/process is the cause they will (usually) angrily say "Well how do YOU explain it?"

Thanks to lytrigian provided some clear examples.
False dilemma, "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" and special pleading seems to fit well.

One of the most memorable examples for me was when I worked with "born again" old coot. He told me how someone had incurable kidney disease was cured and thus the existence of his god was proved! When I asked the usual questions such as did the person actually have a disease and might have been misdiagnosed he got pissed off and shouted, "HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN IT THEN!" smilies/cry.gif
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Authors?
written by JK, February 12, 2011
I would like to know who and how many people write the forecasts for the publications? Do they also write messages for fortune cookies? Do they claim some special prescience?
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Last Updated on Monday, 24 January 2011 19:28